Bold moves are required for the best chance at instant glory
When the Steelers signed Russell Wilson and news broke that he was coming to Pittsburgh as the starter, many fans interpreted the move as a sign that the Steelers were ready to go “all-in” for 2024. Having a 35-year-old quarterback on a one-year contract screams short-term goals, but then free agency happened. Or, perhaps more accurately, free agency didn’t happen. Instead of paying up for experienced veterans, the Steelers signed no offensive players of note to a squad that had to rally in the last three games of the year just to bring their scoring average up to fifth worst in the league.
While the signing of Wilson was pending they also traded away their top receiver, shipping Diontae Johnson to the Carolina Panthers in a trade that brought little draft capital and cornerback Donte Jackson. Instead of getting the new quarterback a better roster, they actually made it worse.
The Steelers are now just a few days away from the draft and have several issues still needing to be addressed on offense. A hole was created at wide receiver to go along with the existing hole at the center position. Meanwhile, the Steelers’ offensive line has been bogged down for three seasons by the struggles of left tackle Dan Moore.
Moore wasn’t expected to start as a fourth-round rookie, but an injury thrust him into the lineup early. After two seasons the Steelers would trade up in the first round to draft his replacement, Broderick Jones. Yet somehow Moore keeps out there at left tackle like the Energizer Bunny and the Steelers’ offensive line struggles continue. With a need for three new starters, it’s hard to imagine the Steelers being able to fill them all in the draft. How could they possibly still be thinking about going for it in 2024?
There has been much discussion of the rumors about the Steelers trading for wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk. While it doesn’t necessarily have to be Aiyuk, the Steelers need to acquire a legit starting wideout, as counting on a rookie wide receiver to fill that hole isn’t the way to make an all-in attempt. What the Steelers need to do is work out a trade for a wide receiver where they get more starters than picks given up.
How the Steelers could add a veteran WR with a pick swap trade
One way to accomplish this is via a pick swap where the pick coming back has a high enough value to fill another hole. If Aiyuk is the target, maybe Pittsburgh sends San Francisco a first-round pick but gets back the 49ers second. Pittsburgh could cross wide receiver off of its needs list and would still have four of the top 100 picks (Nos. 51, 63, 84, 98) to address the needs at center, offensive tackle, and elsewhere. Other lower picks or future picks could be included to balance out this or any other trade; this article isn’t about proposing specific trade packages, but rather illustrating how a pick swap could be the ticket for the Steelers.
If fears of crippling the franchise by using a first-round pick this way haunt you, realize that the Los Angeles Rams haven’t drafted in the first round since 2016. Since their last first-round selection they have played in two Super Bowls, winning one of them, and have been in the playoffs five of the last seven years. If sending a first still feels like too steep of a price to pay when there is a draft very loaded at the position, perhaps Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton, who caught 10 touchdowns from Wilson last year in only 14 games together, could be acquired by sending Denver a second and getting back a third leaving Pittsburgh with Nos. 20, 76, 84, and 98 in the first three rounds. The Broncos don’t hold a second and would surely be interested in having one to use as part of their rebuild.
Stefon Diggs was recently traded in a package that, with the use of a draft pick trade calculator, valued him as pick No.86 in this year’s draft. Similarly devised, Jerry Jeudy was traded for the value of pick No. 123. Keenan Allen, whose stats and age are very comparable to Diggs was traded straight up for pick No. 110. In this example where Pittsburgh sends No. 51 and receives No. 76 and Sutton, Sutton’s value in the trade is the same as that of pick No. 80 in this year’s draft. Again, later picks and future picks, either coming or going, are available to balance out any trade for these all-in scenarios.
How the Steelers could eliminate two needs with one move
Another way to fill these holes to make some noise this year would be to get a two-for-one deal. In the example of Sutton above, Denver has just launched a full rebuild. According to Spotrac, the highest salary cap hits on their current roster are Sutton and left tackle Garrett Bolles. Bolles will be 32 this year but is still playing at a high level. As he is in the last year of his contract, his trade compensation shouldn’t be much. A trade for a package of Sutton and Bolles could kill two birds with one stone.
The Raiders are another team in search of their next quarterback and thus filed under the rebuilding column. Wide receiver Davante Adams is on a contract that pays him $16.9 million this year followed by two years at $35.6 million. There’s almost no way Las Vegas will pay that much for his exceptional talents while breaking in a new quarterback. After this season, at the latest, he is destined to either take an extreme pay cut or get traded away. At 32, why should the Raiders risk Adams getting injured and ruining his trade value compared to trading him now? His age and stats are very similar to Diggs and Allen.
Offensive tackle Kolton Miller will be 29 and has two years remaining on his contract at $12.3 million. If the Raiders want to get younger and cheaper as part of their rebuild, trading away two of their three highest cap hits makes sense. Keeping in mind that Diggs went for a late third, that Diggs and Adams are very similar in age and production, and factoring in a potential financial desire of the Raiders to move both Adams and Miller, the Steelers could possibly acquire both for a trade based around sending their second-round pick.
My favorite scenario in this land of hypotheticals combines the pick swap method with a two-for-one. As we float down this river through the fantasy world, imagine the Raiders getting shut out of the quarterback derby by the six teams ahead of them who are also wanting one. Not only are they now in rebuilding mode, but the lack of a quarterback to build around has tacked an extra year onto the process. Because of an early run on quarterbacks, Las Vegas could have wide receiver Rome Odunze available to draft. They pick up the phone and call Omar Khan to re-visit a previously outlined deal that sends to the Steelers Adams, Miller, and pick No. 77 for pick No. 20. The Raiders could then fill those holes with younger and cheaper rookies, while the Steelers would have used their first-round pick to spectacularly fill the holes at wide receiver and tackle and still have four picks in the top 100 (Nos. 51, 77, 84, 98) to address center and other needs.
Picks No. 51 and 77 should be enough to get them into the end of the first round to possibly grab the first center of the draft. The age and contracts of Adams and Miller don’t make it the prudent thing to do, but when you go all in you can’t hold back. You have to take big swings when you commit to going for it. Otherwise, the Steelers are just spinning their wheels for all of 2024, and having Russell Wilson
on a one-year contract will have been a waste of everyone’s time.