NBA picks, best bets for playoffs: Defense rules as under trend continues, Robinson fills Butler void for Heat

Getty Images

Now that the 2024 NBA postseason has begun, the basketball betting market is hotter than ever. CBS Sports will be providing daily picks for the duration of the postseason. Sam Quinn will make at least one pick for every game between now and the NBA Finals.

So far this postseason, 10 of the first 14 games have gone under their pre-game point total. The Celtics and Heat did indeed go above this line in Game 1, but remember, Boston made 22 3-pointers. That tied for a franchise record. Assume a bit of downward regression, a game’s worth of adjustments and Miami’s enormous lack of shot creation at the moment due to injuries, and I’m taking the under again here. The Pick: Under 203

There is one player I do expect to have a decent